The semifinals of the College Football Playoff will take place with the Fiesta Bowl and the Peach Bowl on Dec. 31, but there will still be several intriguing non-playoff bowl games remaining on the 2022-23 college football bowl schedule after that. No. 8 Utah will be looking to build on its Pac-12 title game victory when it faces No. 11 Penn State in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 2. The Utes have won six of their last seven games, including their 47-24 win against USC in the conference title game, and they are 3-point favorites in the latest college football bowl odds at Caesars Sportsbook. That is one of the smaller spreads during the 2022-23 bowl season, so where should you be placing the Rose Bowl in your college football bowl confidence pools?
In fact, three out of the four games on Jan. 2 are priced at -3 or less in the college football bowl lines, creating tricky decisions in college football bowl confidence groups. Having a solid college football bowl confidence strategy can be the difference between winning and losing this bowl season. Before making any college football predictions for bowl season, don't miss the bowl confidence pool picks from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now it has simulated each matchup on the 2022-23 college football bowl schedule 10,000 times and assigned a confidence rating to each game. You can only see all the college football bowl picks over at SportsLine.
Top college football bowl confidence predictions
One of the top 2022-23 college football bowl confidence picks from the model: Ole Miss cruises past Texas Tech in the 2022 Texas Bowl on Dec. 28 at 9 p.m. ET. The Rebels lost four of their final five games down the stretch of the regular season, but all four of those losses came against teams that were ranked at some point this year. They still finished the season with eight wins and have one of the best offenses in college football under head coach Lane Kiffin.
Sophomore quarterback Jaxson Dart threw for more than 2,600 yards and 18 touchdowns, while freshman running back Quinshon Judkins rushed for 1,476 yards and 16 scores. The model expects Judkins to have another big day against a mediocre Texas Tech defense, as he is rushing for more than 100 yards and at least one touchdown in the latest simulations. Running back Zach Evans and Dart are combining for another 120 rushing yards, which is one reason why Ole Miss is winning outright well over 70% of the time.
Another one of the bowl confidence predictions the model is high on: No. 17 LSU handles Purdue in the Citrus Bowl on Jan. 2 at 1 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook opened LSU as a 7-point favorite, but the early betting action has quickly pushed the line up to -10.5. The Tigers lost a pair of games down the stretch this season, but they also recorded wins over then-No. 7 Ole Miss and then-No. 6 Alabama in back-to-back games. They are going to be motivated to record a strong finish to Brian Kelly's first year as head coach, while Purdue is amid a coaching change.
Head coach Jeff Brohm left Purdue for Louisville, leaving offensive coordinator Brian Brohm as the interim coach in this game. Cohesiveness is one of the biggest factors when handicapping bowl games, and Purdue is going to be lacking in that category when it faces LSU. The model has the Tigers winning almost 70% of the time, making them one of the top picks during the 2022-23 bowl season.
How to make college football bowl confidence picks
The model has also made the call on who wins every other bowl game. There are 17 teams that win at least 65% of the time, so you need to go big on those matchups, as well as multiple underdogs that win outright. You can get all the model's picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins every college football bowl game? And which matchups should you assign the most confidence points to? Visit SportsLine to see the full college football bowl confidence picks, all from the model that is up almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football spread picks over the past six-plus season, and find out.
2022-23 college football bowl schedule (all times ET)
Friday, Dec. 16
Bahamas Bowl: Miami (Ohio) vs. UAB, 11:30 a.m.
Cure Bowl: No. 24 Troy vs. No. 25 UTSA, 3 p.m.
Saturday, Dec. 17
Fenway Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Louisville, 11 a.m.
Celebration Bowl Jackson State vs. N.C. Central, noon
Las Vegas Bowl: No. 14 Oregon State vs. Florida, 2:30 p.m.
LA Bowl: Washington State vs. Fresno State, 3:30 p.m.
LendingTree Bowl: Rice vs. Southern Mississippi, 5:45 p.m. ET
New Mexico Bowl: SMU vs. BYU, 7:30 p.m.
Frisco Bowl: Boise State vs. North Texas, 9:15 p.m.
Monday, Dec. 19
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Marshall vs. UConn, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday, Dec. 20
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Eastern Michigan vs. San Jose State, 3:30 p.m.
Boca Raton Bowl: Liberty vs. Toledo, 7:30 p.m.
Wednesday, Dec. 21
New Orleans Bowl: South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky, 9 p.m.
Thursday, Dec. 22
Armed Forces Bowl: Baylor vs. Air Force, 7:30 p.m.
Friday, Dec. 23
Independence Bowl: Houston vs. Louisiana, 3 p.m.
Gasparilla Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Missouri, 6:30 p.m.
Saturday, Dec. 24
Hawai'i Bowl: Middle Tennessee State vs. San Diego State, 8 p.m.
Monday, Dec. 26
Quick Lane Bowl: Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday, Dec. 27
Camellia Bowl: Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern, noon
First Responder Bowl: Memphis vs. Utah State, 3:15 p.m.
Birmingham Bowl: Coastal Carolina vs. East Carolina, 6:45 p.m.
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin, 10:15 p.m.
Wednesday, Dec. 28
Military Bowl: Duke vs. UCF, 2 p.m.
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas vs. Kansas, 5:30 p.m.
Holiday Bowl: No. 15 Oregon vs. North Carolina, 8 p.m.
Texas Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss, 9 p.m.
Thursday, Dec. 29
Pinstripe Bowl: Minnesota vs. Syracuse, 2 p.m.
Cheez-It Bowl, No. 13 Florida State vs. Oklahoma, 5:30 p.m.
Alamo Bowl: No. 12 Washington vs. No. 20 Texas, 9 p.m.
Friday, Dec. 30
Duke's Mayo Bowl: No. 23 NC State vs. Maryland, noon
Sun Bowl: No. 18 UCLA vs. Pitt, 2 p.m. ET
Gator Bowl: No. 19 South Carolina vs. No. 21 Notre Dame, 3:30 p.m.
Arizona Bowl: Ohio vs. Wyoming, 4:30 p.m.
Orange Bowl: No. 6 Tennessee vs. No. 7 Clemson, 8 p.m.
Saturday, Dec. 31
Music City Bowl: Iowa vs. Kentucky, noon
Sugar Bowl: No. 5 Alabama vs. No. 9 Kansas State, noon
Fiesta Bowl (CFP semifinal): No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU, 4 p.m.
Peach Bowl (CFP semifinal semifinal): No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State, 8 p.m.
Monday, Jan. 2
ReliaQuest Bowl: No. 22 Mississippi State vs. Illinois, noon
Citrus Bowl: No. 17 LSU vs. Purdue, 1 p.m.
Cotton Bowl Classic: No. 10 USC vs. No. 16 Tulane, 1 p.m.
Rose Bowl: No. 8 Utah vs. No. 11 Penn State, 5 p.m.
Monday, Jan. 9
College Football Playoff National Championship Game, 7:30 p.m. (winner of Georgia-Ohio State vs. winner of Michigan-TCU)
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